I-National Retail Federation yakamuva ye-US ocean import report project ukuthi amandla omthamo olinganiselwe - cishe i-TEU eyizigidi ezimbili - elinganiselwa ku-August izoqhubeka kuze kube ngu-Okthoba, okubonisa ukwenyuka kwethemba phakathi kwabangenisa kwamanye amazwe amandla omthengi phakathi nenkathi yamaholide, ngokusho kwemakethe yezimpahla iFreightos.
Lezi zibikezelo zinenani likaSepthemba no-Okthoba eliphakeme ngamaphesenti angama-6-7 kunangonyaka wezi-2019, okulandelwa ukucwiliswa okusesilinganisweni kuphela ngoNovemba nangoDisemba, ngamavolumu acishe abe ngamaphesenti ayi-15 aphezulu kunobhubhane lwangaphambi kobhubhane. Lawa mandla e-Q4 aphuzile angaba wuphawu olungase lube khona lomjikelezo ojwayelekile wokubuyisela isitoko, njengoba lezi zimpahla zizofika sekwephuzile kakhulu ngamaholide.
Idatha yakamuva evela embonini ye-elekthronikhi ibonisa izimpawu zethemba lokuthi isidingo sezingxenye nemikhiqizo yokugcina izophinde ikhule ekupheleni konyaka.
Izitayela zevolumu
Inani lempahla likhuphuka kancane, ngokusho kwedatha eqoqwe yisoftware yezohwebo yomhlaba kaDescartes iDescartes Datamyne. Umthamo wokungenisa iziqukathi zase-US ngo-Agasti ukhuphuke kancane uma uqhathaniswa noJulayi 2023, ohambisana kahle nokukhuphuka okwenzeka ngesikhathi esishisayo eminyakeni engeyona yobhubhane. Ngaphandle kokwenyuka kwevolumu, izikhathi zokuthutha echwebeni zahlala ziseduze namazinga azo aphansi kusukela i-Descartes yaqala ukuzilandela.
Kulandela ukuxazululwa kwengxabano yezabasebenzi, amachweba oGwini oluseNtshonalanga azuze isabelo semakethe, kusho uDescartes. I-West Coast Ports yase-Los Angeles ne-Long Beach ibonise ukwanda okukhulu kakhulu kwevolumu yesitsha, kuyilapho amachweba aseNew York/New Jersey nase-Savannah abe nokwehla okukhulu kakhulu.
Ngenkathi isomiso ePanama sithinta ukuthutha kwemikhumbi, amavolumu okungenisa iziqukathi zase-US akubonakali ngathi athintekile. Amavolumu emachwebeni aseGulf ezinyangeni ezimbili ezedlule abe emazingeni aphezulu kakhulu kulo nyaka futhi izikhathi zokuhamba bezilokhu ziphansi.
Ukungeniswa kwamaShayina ngo-Agasti 2023 kwakhula, kubika i-Descartes: Kube nokukhuphuka ngamaphesenti angu-1.5 ngaphezu kukaJulayi 2023, kodwa base behle ngamaphesenti angu-17.1 ukusuka ku-A.ngo-Agasti 2022. I-China imele amaphesenti angama-37.9 engqikithi yamakhonteyina angeniswe e-US ngo-Agasti, iqhubu elincane elingamaphesenti angu-0.4 kusukela ngoJulayi, kodwa isehle ngamaphesenti angu-3.6 ukusuka phezulu ngamaphesenti angu-41.5 ngoFebhuwari 2022.
Linganisa amathrendi
Abathwali bebelokhu bezabalaza ukuzinza noma ukunyusa amanani, ngokusho kweFreightos. Amazinga e-Transpacific e-West Coast ehle kancane - cishe amaphesenti angu-7 ngo-September - futhi amanani entengo oGwini Olusempumalanga abe cishe izinga. Lokhu kuzinza okuhlobene ngoSepthemba - nakuba la manani, ngisho namavolumu aphakeme, asasekelwa ngokwengxenye imingcele ebalulekile yamandla ngabathwali - angakhomba ukuvumelana kwevolumu evezwe yi-NRF kanye nokwenzeka kwenani eliphakeme elilinganiselwe kodwa eliqhubekayo ngo-Okthoba.
Kodwa amanani okunciphisa - ngisho ehla kancane - emasontweni angaphambi kweviki legolide lapho ngokuvamile kuba nengcindezi ekhuphukayo emananini, kanye nemibiko eminingi engeqiwa ntwala yokwehla kokubhuka olwandle, ikhomba ngakolunye uhlangothi, kusho uFreightos.
Ku-webinar yokuvuselelwa kwemakethe yakamuva, uRobert Khachatryan, oyi-CEO yomthumeli wezimpahla iFreight Right Logistics, uthe amakhasimende amaningi abika "ukwehla kwama-oda kanye nokulindelwe kokwehla kwezindleko zabathengi ku-Q4," nokuthi amanani ezimpahla ehla ngaphambi kweGolden Week kuphela. kwenezela ekungabazeni ukuthi inani eliphakeme lalo nyaka lizoqhubeka kuze kube uSepthemba noma ngale kwalokho.
Uma isidingo siyehla njengoba umthamo uqhubeka nokukhula, abathwali bazobhekana nezinye izinselele zokugcina amanani enyuka.
Umthamo oweqile emakethe uphoqa abanye ukuthi bangenzi lutho emikhunjini emisha emikhulu ngisho nangaphambi kohambo lwabo lokuqala besuka e-Asia beya eYurophu. Amanani kulo mzila ehle ngamaphesenti angu-8 ngesonto eledlule aya ku-$ 1,608/FEU, kusho iFreightos, nakuba amanani ehlala engaphezulu kwamazinga ka-2019. Ukuphendula, abathwali bamemezela ukuhamba ngomkhumbi okwengeziwe okungenalutho ngisho emasontweni angemva kweholide Leviki Legolide, okuphakamisa ukuthi isidingo kulindeleke ukuba sehle emasontweni ngokuvamile okuyi-Asia - N. Europe inkathi yesizini ephakeme kakhulu.
Yize amavolumu olwandle kubikwa ukuthi ahlala eqinile e-Asia - ukuhweba kweMedithera, amanani ayehla. Lokhu kuncipha cishe kuqhutshwa abathwali abangeza umthamo omkhulu kakhulu ezinyangeni ezisanda kwedlula njengoba isidingo sibonakale siqinile; manje sebesusa umthamo wokuzama ukufanisa amavolumu.
Abathwali ngokufanayo bagudluze imikhumbi eminingi kakhulu ekuhwebeni kwe-atlantic ingxenye enkulu yalo nyaka njengoba amanani ehlile, futhi amanani abelokhu ehla ingxenye enkulu yonyaka odlule ngenxa yalokho. I-Freightos ithole amanani ehle amanye amaphesenti angu-7 ngesonto eledlule yaya ngaphansi kuka-$1,100/FEU - amaphesenti angama-45 aphansi kunangowezi-2019 - futhi abathwali bamemezele ukwenyuka okukhulu kwezikebhe ezingenalutho ukuzama ukuhlehlisa amanani.
Izimpawu zesizini yolwandle ephakeme ethulisiwe ziholela ekuphelelweni ithemba mayelana namandla enkathi yokukhuphuka kwezimpahla zomoya ezinyangeni ezizayo, kuphetha uFreightos. Ngaleso sikhathi, uKhachatryan ubika ukuthi ubona "ukwanda kwesidingo sokubhukha umoya obala emasontweni ambalwa edlule," okuthi, kanye nokubuya kancane kwezokuvakasha eChina kungangezi inani labagibeli abaningi uma kuqhathaniswa nezinye izifunda eziningi, kungase kubangele Amaphesenti angama-37 akhuphuka e-China - N. America Freightos Air Index amazinga afinyelela ku-$4.78/kg kusukela ekuqaleni kuka-August.
Okwangempela kusukaEPSNews-Ivuliwe, Ngedeski Lezindaba
Isikhathi sokuthumela: Sep-14-2023